This is an online portal with information on donations that were announced publicly (or have been shared with permission) that were of interest to Vipul Naik. The git repository with the code for this portal, as well as all the underlying data, is available on GitHub. All payment amounts are in current United States dollars (USD). The repository of donations is being seeded with an initial collation by Issa Rice as well as continued contributions from him (see his commits and the contract work page listing all financially compensated contributions to the site) but all responsibility for errors and inaccuracies belongs to Vipul Naik. Current data is preliminary and has not been completely vetted and normalized; if sharing a link to this site or any page on this site, please include the caveat that the data is preliminary (if you want to share without including caveats, please check with Vipul Naik). We expect to have completed the first round of development by the end of December 2019. See the about page for more details. Also of interest: pageview data on analytics.vipulnaik.com, tutorial in README, request for feedback to EA Forum.
We do not have any donee information for the donee Tegan McCaslin in our system.
|Cause area||Count||Median||Mean||Minimum||10th percentile||20th percentile||30th percentile||40th percentile||50th percentile||60th percentile||70th percentile||80th percentile||90th percentile||Maximum|
|Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donee)||30,000.00||30,000.00|
|Donor||Amount (current USD)||Amount rank (out of 1)||Donation date||Cause area||URL||Influencer||Notes|
|Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund||30,000.00||1||AI safety/forecasting||https://app.effectivealtruism.org/funds/far-future/payouts/6vDsjtUyDdvBa3sNeoNVvl||Oliver Habryka Alex Zhu Matt Wage Helen Toner Matt Fallshaw||Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)
Intended use of funds (category): Living expenses during research project
Intended use of funds: Grant for independent research projects relevant to AI forecasting and strategy, including (but not necessarily limited to) some of the following: (1) Does the trajectory of AI capability development match that of biological evolution? (2) How tractable is long-term forecasting? (3) How much compute did evolution use to produce intelligence? (4)Benchmarking AI capabilities against insects. Short doc on (1) and (2) at https://docs.google.com/document/d/1hTLrLXewF-_iJiefyZPF6L677bLrUTo2ziy6BQbxqjs/edit
Donor reason for selecting the donee: Reasons for the grant from Oliver Habryka, the main influencer, include: (1) It's easier to relocate someone who has already demonstrated trust and skills than to find someone completely new, (2.1) It's important to give good researchers runway while they find the right place. Habryka notes: "my brief assessment of Tegan’s work was not the reason why I recommended this grant, and if Tegan asks for a new grant in 6 months to focus on solo research, I will want to spend significantly more time reading her output and talking with her, to understand how these questions were chosen and what precise relation they have to forecasting technological progress in AI."
Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee). Habryka also mentions that he is interested only in providing limited runway, and would need to assess much more carefully for a more long-term grant
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 3.25%
Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round. However, it is also related to the grantee's situation (she has just quit her job at AI Impacts, and needs financial runway to continue pursuing promising research projects)
Intended funding timeframe in months: 6
Donor thoughts on making further donations to the donee: The grant investigator Oliver Habryka notes: "if Tegan asks for a new grant in 6 months to focus on solo research, I will want to spend significantly more time reading her output and talking with her, to understand how these questions were chosen and what precise relation they have to forecasting technological progress in AI."
Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions The comments on the post do not discuss this specific grant, but a grant to Lauren Lee that includes somewhat similar reasoning (providing people runway after they leave their jobs, so they can explore better) attracts some criticism.