Survival and Flourishing Fund|Ben Hoskin|Katja Grace|Oliver Habryka|Adam Marblestone money moved

This is an online portal with information on donations that were announced publicly (or have been shared with permission) that were of interest to Vipul Naik. The git repository with the code for this portal, as well as all the underlying data, is available on GitHub. All payment amounts are in current United States dollars (USD). The repository of donations is being seeded with an initial collation by Issa Rice as well as continued contributions from him (see his commits and the contract work page listing all financially compensated contributions to the site) but all responsibility for errors and inaccuracies belongs to Vipul Naik. Current data is preliminary and has not been completely vetted and normalized; if sharing a link to this site or any page on this site, please include the caveat that the data is preliminary (if you want to share without including caveats, please check with Vipul Naik). We expect to have completed the first round of development by the end of March 2023. See the about page for more details. Also of interest: pageview data on analytics.vipulnaik.com, tutorial in README, request for feedback to EA Forum.

Table of contents

Full list of documents in reverse chronological order (17 documents)

Title (URL linked)Publication dateAuthorPublisherAffected donorsAffected doneesDocument scopeNotes
The LessWrong Team is now Lightcone Infrastructure, come work with us!2021-09-30Oliver Habryka LessWrong Lightcone Infrastructure Status changeThe LessWrong team announces a name change to Lightcone Infrastructure; the LessWrong website will continue to be called LessWrong. The renaming of the team reflects a wider scope than just work related to the LessWrong website, "Lightcone" refers to the light cone of humanity which essentially reflects the portion of spacetime that we can influence.
2019 AI Alignment Literature Review and Charity Comparison2019-12-19Ben Hoskin Effective Altruism ForumBen Hoskin Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund Open Philanthropy Survival and Flourising Fund Future of Humanity Institute Center for Human-Compatible AI Machine Intelligence Research Institute Global Catastrophic Risk Institute Centre for the Study of Existential Risk Ought OpenAI AI Safety Camp Future of Life Institute AI Impacts Global Priorities Institute Foundational Research Institute Median Group Center for Security and Emerging Technology Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence Berkeley Existential Risk Initiative AI Pulse Review of current state of cause areaCross-posted to LessWrong at https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SmDziGM9hBjW9DKmf/2019-ai-alignment-literature-review-and-charity-comparison (GW, IR) This is the fourth post in a tradition of annual blog posts on the state of AI safety and the work of various organizations in the space over the course of the year; the previous year's post is at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/BznrRBgiDdcTwWWsB/2018-ai-alignment-literature-review-and-charity-comparison (GW, IR) The post has sections on "Research" and "Finance" for a number of organizations working in the AI safety space, many of whom accept donations. A "Capital Allocators" section discusses major players who allocate funds in the space. A lengthy "Methodological Thoughts" section explains how the author approaches some underlying questions that influence his thoughts on all the organizations. To make selective reading of the document easier, the author ends each paragraph with a hashtag, and lists the hashtags at the beginning of the document.
Long Term Future Fund and EA Meta Fund applications open until June 28th2019-06-10Oliver Habryka Effective Altruism ForumEffective Altruism Funds: Infrastructure Fund Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund Request for proposalsThe blog post announces that two of the funds under Effective Altruism Funds, namely the Long-Term Future Fund and the EA Meta Fund, are open for rolling applications. The application window for the current round ends on June 28. Response time windows will be 3-4 months (i.e., after the end of the corresponding application cycle). In rare cases, grants may be made out-of-cycle. Grant amounts must be at least $10,000, and will generally be under $100,000. The blog post gives guidelines on the kinds of applications that each fund will accept
Thoughts on the EA Hotel2019-04-25Oliver Habryka Effective Altruism ForumEffective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund Centre for Enabling EA Learning & Research Evaluator review of doneeWith permission from Greg Colbourn of the EA Hotel, Habryka publicly posts the feedback he sent to the EA Hotel, who was rejected from the April 2019 funding round by the Long Term Future Fund. Habryka first lists three reasons he is excited about the Hotel: (a) Providing a safety net, (b) Acting on historical interest, (c) Building high-dedication cultures. He articulates three concrete models of concerns: (1) Initial overeagerness to publicize the EA Hotel (a point he now believes is mostly false, based on Greg Colbourn's response), (2) Significant chance of the EA Hotel culture becoming actively harmful for residents, (3) No good candidate to take charge of long-term logistics of running the hotel. Habryka concludes by saying he thinks all his concerns can be overcome. At the moment, he thinks the hotel should be funded for the next year, but is unsure of whether they should be given money to buy the hotel next door. The comment replies include one by Greg Colbourn, giving his backstory on the media attention (re: (1)) and discussing the situation with (2) and (3). There are also other replies, including one from casebash, who stayed at the hotel for a significant time
Major Donation: Long Term Future Fund Application Extended 1 Week2019-02-16Oliver Habryka Effective Altruism ForumEffective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund Request for proposalsThe blog post announces that the EA Long-Term Future Fund has received a large donation, which doubles the amount of money available for granting to ~$1.2 million. It extends the deadline for applications at at https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeDTbCDbnIN11vcgHM3DKq6M0cZ3itAy5GIPK17uvTXcz8ZFA/viewform?usp=sf_link by 1 week, to 2019-02-24 midnight PST. The application form was previously annonced at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/oFeGLaJ5bZBBRbjC9/ea-funds-long-term-future-fund-is-open-to-applications-until (GW, IR) and supposed to be open till 2019-02-07 for the February 2019 round of grants. Cross-posted to LessWrong at https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ZKsSuxHWNGiXJBJ9Z/major-donation-long-term-future-fund-application-extended-1 (GW, IR)
EA Funds: Long-Term Future fund is open to applications until Feb. 7th2019-01-17Oliver Habryka Effective Altruism ForumEffective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund Request for proposalsCross-posted to LessWrong at https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dvGE8JSeFHtmHC6Gb/ea-funds-long-term-future-fund-is-open-to-applications-until (GW, IR) The post seeks proposals for the Long-Term Future Fund. Proposals must be submitted by 2019-02-07 at https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeDTbCDbnIN11vcgHM3DKq6M0cZ3itAy5GIPK17uvTXcz8ZFA/viewform?usp=sf_link to be considered for the round of grants being announced mid-February. From the application, excerpted in the post: "We are particularly interested in small teams and individuals that are trying to get projects off the ground, or that need less money than existing grant-making institutions are likely to give out (i.e. less than ~$100k, but more than $10k). Here are a few examples of project types that we're open to funding an individual or group for (note that this list is not exhaustive)"
Long-Term Future Fund AMA2018-12-18Helen Toner Oliver Habryka Alex Zhu Matt Fallshaw Effective Altruism ForumEffective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund Donee AMAThe post is an Ask Me Anything (AMA) for the Long-Term Future Find. The question and answers are in the post comments. Questions are asked by a number of people including Luke Muehlhauser, Josh You, Peter Hurford, Alex Foster, and Robert Jones. Fund managers Oliver Habryka, Matt Fallshaw, Helen Toner, and Alex Zhu respond in the comments. Fund manager Matt Wage does not appear to have participated. Questions cover the amount of time spent evaluating grants, the evaluation criteria, the methods of soliciting grants, and research that would help the team
2018 AI Alignment Literature Review and Charity Comparison2018-12-17Ben Hoskin Effective Altruism ForumBen Hoskin Machine Intelligence Research Institute Future of Humanity Institute Center for Human-Compatible AI Centre for the Study of Existential Risk Global Catastrophic Risk Institute Global Priorities Institute Australian National University Berkeley Existential Risk Initiative Ought AI Impacts OpenAI Effective Altruism Foundation Foundational Research Institute Median Group Convergence Analysis Review of current state of cause areaCross-posted to LessWrong at https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/a72owS5hz3acBK5xc/2018-ai-alignment-literature-review-and-charity-comparison (GW, IR) This is the third post in a tradition of annual blog posts on the state of AI safety and the work of various organizations in the space over the course of the year; the previous two blog posts are at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/nSot23sAjoZRgaEwa/2016-ai-risk-literature-review-and-charity-comparison (GW, IR) and https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/XKwiEpWRdfWo7jy7f/2017-ai-safety-literature-review-and-charity-comparison (GW, IR) The post has a "methodological considerations" section that discusses how the author views track records, politics, openness, the research flywheel, near vs far safety research, other existential risks, financial reserves, donation matching, poor quality research, and the Bay Area. The number of organizations reviewed is also larger than in previous years. Excerpts from the conclusion: "Despite having donated to MIRI consistently for many years as a result of their highly non-replaceable and groundbreaking work in the field, I cannot in good faith do so this year given their lack of disclosure. [...] This is the first year I have attempted to review CHAI in detail and I have been impressed with the quality and volume of their work. I also think they have more room for funding than FHI. As such I will be donating some money to CHAI this year. [...] As such I will be donating some money to GCRI again this year. [...] As such I do not plan to donate to AI Impacts this year, but if they are able to scale effectively I might well do so in 2019. [...] I also plan to start making donations to individual researchers, on a retrospective basis, for doing useful work. [...] This would be somewhat similar to Impact Certificates, while hopefully avoiding some of their issues.
EA Funds: Long-Term Future fund is open to applications until November 24th (this Saturday)2018-11-20Oliver Habryka Effective Altruism ForumEffective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund Request for proposalsThe post seeks proposals for the CEA Long-Term Future Fund. Proposals must be submitted by 2018-11-24 at https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSf46ZTOIlv6puMxkEGm6G1FADe5w5fCO3ro-RK6xFJWt7SfaQ/viewform in order to be considered for the round of grants to be announced by the end of November 2018
Occasional update July 5 20182018-07-05Katja Grace AI ImpactsOpen Philanthropy Anonymous AI Impacts Donee periodic updateKatja Grace gives an update on the situation with AI Impacts, including recent funding received, personnel changes, and recent publicity.In particular, a $100,000 donation from the Open Philanthropy Project and a $39,000 anonymous donation are mentioned, and team members Tegan McCaslin, Justis Mills, consultant Carl Shulman, and departing member Michael Wulfsohn are mentioned
2017 AI Safety Literature Review and Charity Comparison2017-12-20Ben Hoskin Effective Altruism ForumBen Hoskin Machine Intelligence Research Institute Future of Humanity Institute Global Catastrophic Risk Institute Centre for the Study of Existential Risk AI Impacts Center for Human-Compatible AI Center for Applied Rationality Future of Life Institute 80,000 Hours Review of current state of cause areaThe lengthy blog post covers all the published work of prominent organizations focused on AI risk. It is an annual refresh of https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/nSot23sAjoZRgaEwa/2016-ai-risk-literature-review-and-charity-comparison (GW, IR) -- a similar post published a year before it. The conclusion: "Significant donations to the Machine Intelligence Research Institute and the Global Catastrophic Risks Institute. A much smaller one to AI Impacts."
LW 2.0 Strategic Overview2017-09-14Oliver Habryka LessWrongCentre for Effective Altruism Effective Altruism Grants Eric Rogstad Lightcone Infrastructure Miscellaneous commentaryHabryka describes his plans for LessWrong 2.0 as its primary developer.
Welcome to Lesswrong 2.02017-06-18Oliver Habryka LessWrong Lightcone Infrastructure LaunchPost outlines thinking for LessWrong 2.0, covering in part changes to the codebase, moderation, discourse norms.
2016 AI Risk Literature Review and Charity Comparison2016-12-13Ben Hoskin Effective Altruism ForumBen Hoskin Machine Intelligence Research Institute Future of Humanity Institute OpenAI Center for Human-Compatible AI Future of Life Institute Centre for the Study of Existential Risk Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence Global Catastrophic Risk Institute Global Priorities Project AI Impacts Xrisks Institute X-Risks Net Center for Applied Rationality 80,000 Hours Raising for Effective Giving Review of current state of cause areaThe lengthy blog post covers all the published work of prominent organizations focused on AI risk. References https://www.openphilanthropy.org/focus/global-catastrophic-risks/potential-risks-advanced-artificial-intelligence/machine-intelligence-research-institute-general-support#sources1007 for the MIRI part of it but notes the absence of information on the many other orgs. The conclusion: "The conclusion: "Donate to both the Machine Intelligence Research Institute and the Future of Humanity Institute, but somewhat biased towards the former. I will also make a smaller donation to the Global Catastrophic Risks Institute."
Recently at AI Impacts2015-11-24Katja Grace AI Impacts AI Impacts Donee periodic updateKatja Grace blogs with an update on new hires (Stephanie Zolayvar and John Salvatier) and new projects: the AI progress survey, AI researcher interviews, and bounty submissions
Supporting AI Impacts2015-05-21Katja Grace AI Impacts AI Impacts Donee donation caseThe blog post announces that AI Impacts now has a donations page at http://aiimpacts.org/donate/
The AI Impacts Blog2015-01-09Katja Grace AI Impacts AI Impacts LaunchThe blog post announces the launch of the AI Impacts website and new blog, with Katja Grace and Paul Christiano as its authors. The post is also referenced by the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI), that is the nonprofit that de facto discally sponsors AI Impacts, at https://intelligence.org/2015/01/11/improved-ai-impacts-website/

Full list of donations in reverse chronological order (93 donations)

DonorDoneeAmount (current USD)Donation dateCause areaURLNotes
Jaan TallinnEffective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund1,417,000.002021-10--https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h2-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H2 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a table of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Regranting

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's sixth grant round and the first one with a grant to the grantee.

Other notes: Jaan Tallinn's philanthropy goals as described in https://jaan.online/philanthropy/ set targets in terms of the total amount of endpoint grants, i.e., grants spent on actual grantees and not for regranting. It is not clear how grants to the Long-Term Future Fund are counted, but since the LTFF tends to spend most of its balance in its grant rounds, Tallinn likely expects that the bulk of the money will become endpoint grants shortly. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2021-11-20.
Jaan TallinnEffective Altruism Funds: Infrastructure Fund699,000.002021-10--https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h2-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H2 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a table of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Regranting

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's sixth grant round and the first one with a grant to the grantee.

Other notes: Jaan Tallinn's philanthropy goals as described in https://jaan.online/philanthropy/ set targets in terms of the total amount of endpoint grants, i.e., grants spent on actual grantees and not for regranting. It is not clear how grants to the Infrastructure Fund are counted, but since the Infrastructure Fund tends to spend most of its balance in its grant rounds, Tallinn likely expects that the bulk of the money will become endpoint grants shortly. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2021-11-20.
Jaan TallinnLightcone Infrastructure380,000.002021-10Rationality improvementhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h2-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H2 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a table of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's sixth grant round and the fourth one with a grant to this grantee.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a $500,000 grant to the grantee from the Casey and Family Foundation, that is participating as a funder in the SFF process for the first time. Althuogh Jed McCaleb also participates as a funder in this round, and has previously granted money to Lightcone Infrastructure, he does not make any grants to Lightcone Infrastructure in this round. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2021-11-20.
The Casey and Family FoundationLightcone Infrastructure500,000.002021-10Rationality improvementhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h2-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H2 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a table of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's sixth grant round and the fourth one with a grant to this grantee. The Casey and Family Foundation is participating in SFF's process for the first time, and this is its only grant in this round.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a $380,000 grant to the grantee from Jaan Tallinn, who has participated in earlier grant rounds and funded Lightcone Infrastructure in several of them. Althuogh Jed McCaleb also participates as a funder in this round, and has previously granted money to Lightcone Infrastructure, he does not make any grants to Lightcone Infrastructure in this round. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2021-11-20.
Jaan TallinnAlliance to Feed the Earth in Disasters979,000.002021-10Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h2-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H2 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a table of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's sixth grant round and the third one with a grant to the grantee.

Other notes: Grant made via the Players Philanthropy Fund. The other two funders in this SFF grant round (Jed McCaleb and The Casey and Family Foundation) do not make grants to ALLFED. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2021-11-20.
Jaan TallinnCenter on Long-Term Risk1,218,000.002021-10Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h2-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H2 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a table of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's sixth grant round and the first one with a grant to the grantee.

Other notes: The other two funders in this SFF grant round (Jed McCaleb and The Casey and Family Foundation) do not make grants to the Center on Long-Term Risk. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2021-11-20.
Jaan TallinnThe Centre for Long-Term Resilience885,000.002021-10--https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h2-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H2 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a table of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's sixth grant round and the second one with a grant to the grantee.

Other notes: The SFF website lists the grantee as Alpenglow Group Limited; this is the business name of the Centre for Long-Term Resilience. The other two funders in this SFF grant round (Jed McCaleb and The Casey and Family Foundation) do not make grants to the Centre for Long-Term Resilience. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2021-11-20.
Jaan TallinnOught542,000.002021-10--https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h2-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H2 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a table of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's sixth grant round and the second one with a grant to the grantee.

Other notes: The other two funders in this SFF grant round (Jed McCaleb and The Casey and Family Foundation) do not make grants to Ought. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2021-11-20.
Jaan TallinnAI Safety Camp130,000.002021-10AI safetyhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h2-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H2 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a table of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: It is likely (though not explicitly stated) that the grant funds the upcoming six-month virtual AI Safety Camp from January to June 2022.

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's sixth grant round and the first one with a grant to the grantee.
Intended funding timeframe in months: 6

Other notes: The grant is made via Rethink Charity. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2021-11-20.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundAI Safety Camp85,000.002021-04-01AI safetyhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/may-2021-long-term-future-fund-grants Donation process: Grant selected from a pool of applicants. This particular grantee had received grants in the past, and the grantmaking process was mainly based on soliciting more reviews and feedback from participants in AI Safety Camps funded by past grants.

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: Grant for "running a virtual and physical camp where selected applicants test their fit for AI safety research." Unlike previous grants, no specific date or time is provided for the grant.

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Grant page says: "some alumni of the camp reported very substantial positive benefits from attending the camp, while none of them reported noticing any substantial harmful consequences. [...] all alumni I reached out to thought that the camp was at worst, only a slightly less valuable use of their time than what they would have done instead, so the downside risk seems relatively limited. [...] the need for social events and workshops like this is greater than I previously thought, and that they are in high demand among people new to the AI Alignment field. [...] there is enough demand for multiple programs like this one, which reduces the grant’s downside risk, since it means that AI Safety Camp is not substantially crowding out other similar camps. There also don’t seem to be many similar events to AI Safety Camp right now, which suggests that a better camp would not happen naturally, and makes it seem like a bad idea to further reduce the supply by not funding the camp."

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): No specific reasons are given for the amount, but it is larger than previous grants, possibly reflecting the expanded scope of virtual and physical camp.
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 5.15%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round as well as possibly by time taken to collect and process feedback from past grant participants. The pausing of in-person camps during the COVID-19 pandemic may also explain the gap since the previous grant.
Jaan TallinnCenter for Applied Rationality1,207,000.002021-04Rationality improvementhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fifth grant round. Grants to CFAR had been made in the first, second, and fourth grant round not the third one.

Other notes: Although Jed McCaleb also participated as a funder in this grant round, he did not make any grants to this grantee (Center for Applied Rationality). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnAI Impacts221,000.002021-04Rationality improvementhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fifth grant round. Grants to AI Impacts had been made in the second and third grant rounds.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a grant from Jed McCaleb ($82,000) to the same grantee (AI Impacts). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jed McCalebAI Impacts82,000.002021-04Rationality improvementhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fifth grant round. Grants to AI Impacts had been made in the second and third grant rounds.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a grant from Jaan Tallinn ($221,000) to the same grantee. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnCentre for Enabling EA Learning & Research61,000.002021-04Effective altruism/housinghttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fifth grant round and the first one with a grant to this grantee.

Other notes: The grant round includes a grant by Jed McCaleb ($21,000) to the same grantee (CEEALAR). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jed McCalebCentre for Enabling EA Learning & Research21,000.002021-04Effective altruism/housinghttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fifth grant round and the first one with a grant to this grantee.

Other notes: The grant round includes a grant by Jaan Tallinn ($61,000) to the same grantee (CEEALAR). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnLightcone Infrastructure1,055,000.002021-04Rationality improvementhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fifth grant round and the third one with a grant to this grantee.

Donor retrospective of the donation: Followup grants in the next grant round https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h2-recommendations from both Jaan Tallinn and the Casey and Family Foundation, suggest continued satisfaction with the grantee, though the grant amounts ($380,000 and $500,000 respectively) total to less than this grant.

Other notes: At the time, the grantee is known as LessWrong, and listed as such in the grants database. Although Jed McCaleb also participates in this grant round as a funder, he does not make any grants to this grantee. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnCentre for the Study of Existential Risk145,000.002021-04Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fifth grant round and the third one with a grant to the grantee. Tallinn had also made a grant to the grantee directly (outside of the SFF's process) in 2020.

Other notes: Although Jed McCaleb also participates in this grant round as a funder, he does not make any grants to this grantee. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnGlobal Catastrophic Risk Institute48,000.002021-04Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fifth grant round; all previous grant rounds included grants to this grantee.

Other notes: Although Jed McCaleb also participates in this grant round as a funder, he does not make any grants to this grantee. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnAlliance to Feed the Earth in Disasters175,000.002021-04Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fifth grant round. In a previous grant round (2019 Q4), SFF had made a grant to the grantee, but Tallinn had not made any direct grants.

Other notes: Although Jed McCaleb also participates in this grant round as a funder, he does not make any grants to this grantee. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnThe Centre for Long-Term Resilience1,013,000.002021-04Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fifth grant round and the first with a grant to the grantee.

Other notes: The SFF website lists the grantee as Alpenglow Group Limited; this is the business name of the Centre for Long-Term Resilience. Although Jed McCaleb also participates in this grant round as a funder, he does not make any grants to this grantee. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnCharter Cities Institute137,000.002021-04Alternate governance/charter citieshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fifth grant round. In a previous grant round (2019 Q4), SFF had made a grant to the grantee, but Tallinn had not made any direct grants.

Other notes: Although Jed McCaleb also participates in this grant round as a funder, he does not make any grants to this grantee. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnMachine Intelligence Research Institute563,000.002020-12-17AI safetyhttps://jaan.online/philanthropy.html Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H2 grants https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h2-recommendations based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts." The recommended grant amount was $543,000 but the actual grant made was for $563,000.

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): The amount recommended by the S-process was $543,0000, but the actual grant amount was $563,000 ($20,000 higher).

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fourth grant round. Grants to MIRI had also been made in the third round (2020 H1).

Other notes: Although the Survival and Flourishing Fund and Jed McCaleb also participate as donors in this round, neither of them makes a grant to MIRI.
Jaan TallinnCenter for Applied Rationality39,000.002020-12-08Rationality improvementhttps://jaan.online/philanthropy.html Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H2 grants https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h2-recommendations based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts." The amount recommended by the S-process ($19,000) was less than the amount finally granted ($39,000).

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): The S-process came with a recommendation for a grant amount of $19,000 but the amount finally granted was $39,000.

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fourth grant round. Grants to CFAR had been made in the first two grant rounds but not the third one.

Donor retrospective of the donation: Continued grants in future grant rounds (such as https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h1-recommendations in 2021 H1) suggest continued satisfaction with the grantee.

Other notes: The grant round also includes grants from the Survival and Flourishing Fund ($212,000) and Jed McCaleb ($23,000) to the same grantee (Center for Applied Rationality).
Survival and Flourishing FundCenter for Applied Rationality212,000.002020-10Rationality improvementhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h2-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H2 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Other notes: The grant round also includes grants from Jed McCaleb ($23,000) and Jaan Tallinn ($19,000) to the same grantee (Center for Applied Rationality). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jed McCalebCenter for Applied Rationality23,000.002020-10Rationality improvementhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h2-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H2 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fourth grant round. Grants to CFAR had been made in the first two grant rounds but not the third one.

Other notes: The grant round also includes grants from the Survival and Flourishing Fund ($212,000) and Jaan Tallinn ($19,000) to the same grantee (Center for Applied Rationality). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Survival and Flourishing FundFuture of Life Institute23,000.002020-10Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h2-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H2 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fourth grant round. Grants to the grantee had been made in the first and third grant round.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a grant from Jaan Tallinn of $347,000 to the same grantee (FLI). Although Jed McCaleb also participates as a funder in the round, he does not make any grants to this grantee in this round. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnFuture of Life Institute347,000.002020-10Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h2-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H2 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fourth grant round. Grants to the grantee had been made in the first and third grant round.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a grant from the Survival and Flourishing Fund of $347,000 to the same grantee (FLI). Although Jed McCaleb also participates as a funder in the round, he does not make any grants to this grantee in this round. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnGlobal Catastrophic Risk Institute209,000.002020-10Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h2-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2021 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this is SFF's fourth grant round; each of the grant rounds has included grants to the grantee.

Other notes: Although the Survival and Flourishing Fund and Jed McCaleb also participates in this grant round as funders, neither of them makes any grants to this grantee. The grant is made via Social and Environmental Entrepreneurs. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnFuture of Life Institute30,000.002020-07-23Global catastrophic riskshttps://jaan.online/philanthropy.html Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn, Jed McCaleb, and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this 2020 H1 round of grants is SFF's third round; the grantee had also received a grant in the first round.

Donor retrospective of the donation: Continued grants in future grant rounds such as https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h2-recommendations (2020 H2) suggest continued satisfaction with the grantee.

Other notes: The grant round also includes grants from the Survival and Flourishing Fund ($100,000) and Jed McCaleb ($10,000) to the same grantee (FLI). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnAI Impacts40,000.002020-06-12AI safetyhttps://jaan.online/philanthropy.html Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn, Jed McCaleb, and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this 2020 H1 round of grants is SFF's third round; grants to AI Impacts had also been made in the second round in 2019 Q4.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a grant from Jed McCaleb ($20,000) to the same grantee (AI Impacts). Although the Survival and Flourishing Fund also participates as a funder in the round, it had no direct grants to AI Impacts in the round. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnLightcone Infrastructure110,000.002020-06-12Rationality improvementhttps://jaan.online/philanthropy.html Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn, Jed McCaleb, and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this 2020 H1 round of grants is SFF's third round; the grantee had also received a grant in the first round.

Donor retrospective of the donation: A further grant of a much larger amount ($1,055,000) as part of a later grant round https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h1-recommendations (2021 H1) suggests continued satisfaction with the grantee.

Other notes: At the time, the grantee is known as LessWrong, and listed as such in the grants database. The grant round also includes grants from the Survival and Flourishing Fund ($290,000) and Jed McCaleb ($30,000) to the grantee. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnMachine Intelligence Research Institute280,000.002020-06-11AI safetyhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn, Jed McCaleb, and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this 2020 H1 round of grants is SFF's third round and the first with grants to MIRI.

Donor retrospective of the donation: A further grant from Jaan Tallinn to MIRI (see https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h2-recommendations in 2020 H2) suggests continued satisfaction with the grantee.

Other notes: The grant round also includes grants from the Survival and Flourishing Fund ($20,000) and Jed McCaleb ($40,000) to the same grantee (MIRI). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan Tallinn80,000 Hours30,000.002020-06-09Effective altruism/movement growth/career counselinghttps://jaan.online/philanthropy.html Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn, Jed McCaleb, and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this November 2019 round of grants is SFF's third round. SFF made a grant to 80,000 Hours in the previous two rounds as well

Other notes: The grant round also includes grants from Survival and Flourishing Fund ($120,000) and Jed McCaleb ($30,000) to the same grantee (80,000 Hours). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jaan TallinnGlobal Catastrophic Risk Institute90,000.002020-06-09Global catastrophic riskshttps://jaan.online/philanthropy.html Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn, Jed McCaleb, and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this 2020 H1 round of grants is SFF's third round; the grantee had also received grants in the first two rounds but from SFF (not from Tallinn).

Other notes: The grant round also includes a grant from Jed McCaleb of $50,000. The Survival and Flourishing Fund also participates as a funder in this round but does not make a grant to the grantee. The grant is made via Social and Environmental Entrepreneurs. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund80,000 Hours100,000.002020-04-14Effective altruism/movement growth/career counselinghttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2020-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Other notes: Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundMachine Intelligence Research Institute100,000.002020-04-14AI safetyhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2020-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Other notes: In the blog post https://intelligence.org/2020/04/27/miris-largest-grant-to-date/ MIRI mentions the grant along with a $7.7 million grant from the Open Philanthropy Project and a $300,000 grant from Berkeley Existential Risk Initiative. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Survival and Flourishing Fund80,000 Hours120,000.002020-04Effective altruism/movement growth/career counselinghttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn, Jed McCaleb, and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this November 2019 round of grants is SFF's third round. SFF made a grant to 80,000 Hours in the previous two rounds as well.

Other notes: The grant round also includes grants from Jaan Tallinn ($30,000) and Jed McCaleb ($30,000) to the same grantee (80,000 Hours). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jed McCaleb80,000 Hours30,000.002020-04Effective altruism/movement growth/career counselinghttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn, Jed McCaleb, and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this November 2019 round of grants is SFF's third round. SFF made a grant to 80,000 Hours in the previous two rounds as well.

Other notes: The grant round also includes grants from Survival and Flourishing Fund ($120,000) and Jed McCaleb ($30,000) to the same grantee (80,000 Hours). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jed McCalebAI Impacts20,000.002020-04AI safetyhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn, Jed McCaleb, and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this 2020 H1 round of grants is SFF's third round; grants to AI Impacts had also been made in the second round in 2019 Q4.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a grant from Jaan Tallinn ($40,000) to the same grantee (AI Impacts). Although the Survival and Flourishing Fund also participates as a funder in the round, it has no direct grants to AI Impacts. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Survival and Flourishing FundMachine Intelligence Research Institute20,000.002020-04AI safetyhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn, Jed McCaleb, and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this 2020 H1 round of grants is SFF's third round and the first with grants to MIRI.

Other notes: The grant round also includes grants from Jaan Tallinn ($280,000) and Jed McCaleb ($40,000) to the same grantee (MIRI). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jed McCalebMachine Intelligence Research Institute40,000.002020-04AI safetyhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn, Jed McCaleb, and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this 2020 H1 round of grants is SFF's third round and the first with grants to MIRI.

Other notes: The grant round also includes grants from the Survival and Flourishing Fund ($20,000) and Jaan Tallinn ($280,000) to the same grantee (MIRI). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Survival and Flourishing FundLightcone Infrastructure290,000.002020-04Effective altruism/movement growth/career counselinghttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a table of marginal utility functions. Recommenders specified marginal utility functions for funding each application, and adjusted those functions through discussions with each other as the round progressed. Similarly, funders specified and adjusted different utility functions for deferring to each Recommender. In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this 2020 H1 round of grants is SFF's third round; the grantee had also received a grant in the first round.

Other notes: At the time, the grantee is known as LessWrong, and listed as such in the grants database. The grant round also includes grants from Jaan Tallinn ($110,000) and Jed McCaleb ($30,000) to the grantee. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jed McCalebLightcone Infrastructure30,000.002020-04Rationality improvementhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn, Jed McCaleb, and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this 2020 H1 round of grants is SFF's third round; the grantee had also received a grant in the first round.

Other notes: At the time, the grantee is known as LessWrong, and listed as such in the grants database. The grant round also includes grants from the Survival and Flourishing Fund ($290,000) and Jaan Tallinn ($110,000) to the grantee. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Survival and Flourishing FundFuture of Life Institute100,000.002020-04Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn, Jed McCaleb, and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this 2020 H1 round of grants is SFF's third round; the grantee had also received a grant in the first round.

Donor retrospective of the donation: Continued grants in future grant rounds such as https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h2-recommendations (2020 H2) suggest continued satisfaction with the grantee.

Other notes: The grant round also includes grants from Jaan Tallinn ($30,000) and Jed McCaleb ($10,000) to the same grantee (FLI). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jed McCalebFuture of Life Institute10,000.002020-04Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn, Jed McCaleb, and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this 2020 H1 round of grants is SFF's third round; the grantee had also received a grant in the first round.

Other notes: The grant round also includes grants from the Survival and Flourishing Fund ($100,000) and Jaan Tallinn ($30,000) to the same grantee (FLI). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Jed McCalebGlobal Catastrophic Risk Institute50,000.002020-04Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2020 H1 grants based on the S-process (simulation process). A request for grants was made at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wQk3nrGTJZHfsPHb6/survival-and-flourishing-grant-applications-open-until-march (GW, IR) and open till 2020-03-07. The S-process "involves allowing the recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn, Jed McCaleb, and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this 2020 H1 round of grants is SFF's third round; the grantee had also received grants in the first two rounds but from SFF (not from McCaleb, who did not participate in either round).

Other notes: The grant round also includes a grant from Jaan Tallinn of $90,000. The Survival and Flourishing Fund also participates as a funder in this round but does not make a grant to the grantee. The grant is made via Social and Environmental Entrepreneurs. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundAI Safety Camp29,000.002019-11-21AI safetyhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/november-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants Donation process: Grant selected from a pool of applicants. More details on the grantmaking process were not included in this round.

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: Grant to fund the fifth AI Safety Camp. This camp is to be held in Toronto, Canada.

Donor reason for selecting the donee: The grant page says: "This round, I reached out to more past participants and received responses that were, overall, quite positive. I’ve also started thinking that the reference class of things like the AI Safety Camp is more important than I had originally thought."

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Amount likely determined based on what was requested in application. It is comparable to previous grant amounts of $25,000 and $41,000, that were also to run an AI Safety Camp.
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 6.22%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round and of when the grantee intends to hold the next AI Safety Camp.
Intended funding timeframe in months: 1

Donor retrospective of the donation: The followup $85,000 grant (2021-04-01), also investigated by Oliver Habryka, would be accompanied by a more positive assessment based on processing more feedback from camp participants.
Survival and Flourishing Fund80,000 Hours40,000.002019-11Effective altruism/movement growth/career counselinghttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2019-q4-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2019 Q4 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different Recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for selecting the donee: This represents a renewal of a larger grant made by SFF of $280,000 in its previous funding round (2019 Q3).

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this November 2019 round of grants is SFF's second round. SFF made a grant to 80,000 Hours in the previous round as well.

Donor retrospective of the donation: Continued grants in future grant rounds (such as https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations in 2020 H1) suggest continued satisfaction with the grantee.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a $70,000 grant from Jaan Tallinn to the same grantee (80,000 Hours). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2019-12-15.
Jaan Tallinn80,000 Hours70,000.002019-11Effective altruism/movement growth/career counselinghttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2019-q4-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2019 Q4 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different Recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this November 2019 round of grants is SFF's second round and the first one with grants made directly by Jaan Tallinn. SFF made a grant to 80,000 Hours in the previous round as well.

Donor retrospective of the donation: Continued grants in future grant rounds (such as https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations in 2020 H1) suggest continued satisfaction with the grantee.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a $40,000 grant directly from the Survival and Flourishing Fund to the same grantee (80,000 Hours). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2019-12-15.
Survival and Flourishing FundCenter for Applied Rationality150,000.002019-11Rationality improvementhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2019-q4-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2019 Q4 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different Recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this November 2019 round of grants is SFF's second round. SFF made a grant to CFAR in the previous round as well.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a $50,000 grant from Jaan Tallinn to the same grantee (Center for Applied Rationality). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2019-12-15.
Jaan TallinnCenter for Applied Rationality50,000.002019-11Rationality improvementhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2019-q4-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2019 Q4 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different Recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this November 2019 round of grants is SFF's second round and the first one with grants made directly by Jaan Tallinn. SFF made a grant to CFAR in the previous round as well.

Donor retrospective of the donation: Continued grants in future grant rounds (such as https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h2-recommendations in 2020 H2) suggest continued satisfaction with the grantee.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a $150,000 grant from the Survival and Flourishing Fund to the same grantee (Center for Applied Rationality). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2019-12-15.
Survival and Flourishing FundAI Impacts70,000.002019-11AI safetyhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2019-q4-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2019 Q4 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different Recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this November 2019 round of grants is SFF's second round.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a grant from Jaan Tallinn ($30,000) to the same grantee (AI Impacts). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2019-12-15.
Jaan TallinnAI Impacts30,000.002019-11AI safetyhttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2019-q4-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2019 Q4 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different Recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this November 2019 round of grants is SFF's second round.

Donor retrospective of the donation: Continued grants (such as https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2020-h1-recommendations in 2020 H1) suggest continued satisfaction with the grantee.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a grant from the Survival and Flourishing Fund ($70,000) to the same grantee (AI Impacts). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2019-12-15.
Survival and Flourishing FundCentre for the Study of Existential Risk50,000.002019-11Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2019-q4-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2019 Q4 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different Recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this November 2019 round of grants is SFF's second round.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a grant from Jaan Tallinn of $20,000 to the same grantee (CSER). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2019-12-15.
Jaan TallinnCentre for the Study of Existential Risk20,000.002019-11Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2019-q4-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2019 Q4 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different Recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this November 2019 round of grants is SFF's second round.

Donor retrospective of the donation: TThe future grant https://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2021-h1-recommendations (2021 H1) suggests continued satisfaction with the grantee.

Other notes: The grant round also includes a grant from the Survival and Flourishing Fund of $40,000 to the same grantee (CSER). Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2019-12-15.
Survival and Flourishing FundGlobal Catastrophic Risk Institute30,000.002019-11Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2019-q4-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2019 Q4 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different Recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this November 2019 round of grants is SFF's second round. A grant had also been made in the first grant round.

Other notes: Jaan Tallinn also participates as a funder in this grant round, but makes no grants to the grantee in this grant round. The grant is made via Social and Environmental Entrepreneurs. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2019-12-15.
Survival and Flourishing FundAlliance to Feed the Earth in Disasters10,000.002019-11Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2019-q4-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2019 Q4 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different Recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this November 2019 round of grants is SFF's second round and the first with a grant to the grantee. BERI had previously granted money to the grantee.

Other notes: Jaan Tallinn also participates as a funder in this grant round, but makes no grants to the grantee in this grant round. The grant is made via Social and Environmental Entrepreneurs. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2019-12-15.
Survival and Flourishing FundOught100,000.002019-11Global catastrophic riskshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2019-q4-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2019 Q4 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different Recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this November 2019 round of grants is SFF's second round and the first with a grant to the grantee.

Donor retrospective of the donation: In 2021 H2, Jaan Tallinn would make a grant to Ought based on the SFF's S-process.

Other notes: Jaan Tallinn also participates as a funder in this grant round, but makes no grants to the grantee in this grant round. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2019-12-15.
Survival and Flourishing FundCharter Cities Institute60,000.002019-11Alternate governance/charter citieshttps://survivalandflourishing.fund/sff-2019-q4-recommendations Donation process: Part of the Survival and Flourishing Fund's 2019 Q4 grants based on the S-process (simulation process) that "involves allowing the Recommenders and funders to simulate a large number of counterfactual delegation scenarios using a spreadsheet of marginal utility functions. Funders were free to assign different weights to different Recommenders in the process; the weights were determined by marginal utility functions specified by the funders (Jaan Tallinn and SFF). In this round, the process also allowed the funders to make some final adjustments to decide on their final intended grant amounts."

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round; this November 2019 round of grants is SFF's second round and the first with a grant to the grantee. BERI had previously granted money to the grantee.

Other notes: Jaan Tallinn also participates as a funder in this grant round, but makes no grants to the grantee in this grant round. The grant is made via the Center for Innovative Governance Research. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%; announced: 2019-12-15.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundAI Safety Camp41,000.002019-08-30AI safetyhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/august-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Grantee applied through the online application process, and was selected based on review by the fund managers. Oliver Habryka was the fund manager most excited about the grant, and responsible for the public write-up.

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: Grant to fund the 4th AI Safety Camp (AISC) - a research retreat and program for prospective AI safety researchers. From the grant application: "Compared to past iterations, we plan to change the format to include a 3 to 4-day project generation period and team formation workshop, followed by a several-week period of online team collaboration on concrete research questions, a 6 to 7-day intensive research retreat, and ongoing mentoring after the camp. The target capacity is 25 - 30 participants, with projects that range from technical AI safety (majority) to policy and strategy research." The project would later spin off as the AI Safety Research Program https://aisrp.org/

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Habryka, in his grant write-up, says: "I generally think that hackathons and retreats for researchers can be very valuable, allowing for focused thinking in a new environment. I think the AI Safety Camp is held at a relatively low cost, in a part of the world (Europe) where there exist few other opportunities for potential new researchers to spend time thinking about these topics, and some promising people have attended. " He also notes two positive things: (1) The attendees of the second camp all produced an artifact of their research (e.g. an academic writeup or code repository). (2) Changes to the upcoming camp address some concerns raised in feedback on previous camps.

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): No explicit reasons for amount given, but the amount is likely determined by the budget requested by the grantee. For comparison, the amount granted for the previous AI safety camp was $25,000, i.e., a smaller amount. The increased grant size is likely due to the new format of the camp making it longer.
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 9.34%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round as well as intended timing of the 4th AI Safety Camp the grant is for.
Intended funding timeframe in months: 1

Donor thoughts on making further donations to the donee: Habryka writes: "I will not fund another one without spending significantly more time investigating the program."

Other notes: Habryka notes: "After signing off on this grant, I found out that, due to overlap between the organizers of the events, some feedback I got about this camp was actually feedback about the Human Aligned AI Summer School, which means that I had even less information than I thought. In April I said I wanted to talk with the organizers before renewing this grant, and I expected to have at least six months between applications from them, but we received another application this round and I ended up not having time for that conversation." The project funded by the grant would later spin off as the AI Safety Research Program https://aisrp.org/ and the page https://aisrp.org/?page_id=116 would include details on the project outputs.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundHigh Impact Policy Engine60,000.002019-08-30Effective altruism/government policyhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/august-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Grantee applied through the online application process, and was selected based on review by the fund managers. Helen Toner was the fund manager most excited about the grant, and responsible for the public write-up.

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: According to the grant write-up: "This grant funds part of the cost of a full-time staff member for two years, plus some office and travel costs." Also: "HIPE’s primary activities are researching how to have a positive impact in the UK government; disseminating their findings via workshops, blog posts, etc.; and providing one-on-one support to interested individuals."

Donor reason for selecting the donee: The grant write-up says: "Our reasoning for making this grant is based on our impression that HIPE has already been able to gain some traction as a volunteer organization, and on the fact that they now have the opportunity to place a full-time staff member within the Cabinet Office. [...] The fact that the Cabinet Office is willing to provide desk space and cover part of the overhead cost for the staff member suggests that HIPE is engaging successfully with its core audiences.

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Explicit calculations for the amount are not included, but the grant write-up says that it funds "part of the cost of a full-time staff member for two years, plus some office and travel costs." At around the same time, the Meta Fund grants $40,000 to HIPE, also to cover these costs. It is likely that the combined $100,000 covers part or all of the cost.
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 13.67%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round, as well as by the opportunity that has been opened by the potential for a two-year job in the UK civil service if HIPE secures funding
Intended funding timeframe in months: 24

Donor thoughts on making further donations to the donee: The write-up says: "HIPE does not yet have robust ways of tracking its impact, but they expressed strong interest in improving their impact tracking over time. We would hope to see a more fleshed-out impact evaluation if we were asked to renew this grant in the future."

Other notes: Helen Toner, the fund manager most excited about the grant and the author of the grant write-up, writes: "I’ll add that I personally see promise in the idea of services that offer career discussion, coaching, and mentoring in more specialized settings. (Other fund members may agree with this, but it was not part of our discussion when deciding whether to make this grant, so I’m not sure.)". Affected countries: United Kingdom.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundStag Lynn23,000.002019-08-30AI safety/upskillinghttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/august-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Grantee applied through the online application process, and was selected based on review by the fund managers. Alex Zhu was the fund manager most excited about the grant, and responsible for the public write-up. Alex Zhu's write-up disclosed a potential conflict of interest because Stag was living with him and helping him with odd jobs. So, comments from Oliver Habryka, another fund manager, are also included

Intended use of funds (category): Living expenses during research project

Intended use of funds: Grantee's "current intention is to spend the next year improving his skills in a variety of areas (e.g. programming, theoretical neuroscience, and game theory) with the goal of contributing to AI safety research, meeting relevant people in the x-risk community, and helping out in EA/rationality related contexts wherever he can (eg, at rationality summer camps like SPARC and ESPR)." Two projects he may pursue include (1) working to implement certificates of impact in the EA/X-risk community, (2) working as an unpaid personal assistant to someone in EA who is sufficiently busy for this form of assistance to be useful, and sufficiently productive for the assistance to be valuable

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Alex Zhu, the fund manager most excited about the grant, writes: "I recommended funding Stag because I think he is smart, productive, and altruistic, has a track record of doing useful work, and will contribute more usefully to reducing existential risk by directly developing his capabilities and embedding himself in the EA community than he would by finishing his undergraduate degree or working a full-time job." Oliver Habryka, another fund manager, writes: "I’ve interacted with Stag in the past and have broadly positive impressions of him, in particular his capacity for independent strategic thinking." He cites Stag's success in Latvian and Galois Mathematics Olympiads, and Stag's contributions to improving ESPR and SPARC, as well as Stag's decision to contribute to those projects, taking this as "another signal of Stag’s talent at selecting and/or improving projects."

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): No amount-specific reason given, but the amount is likely selected to cover a reasonable fraction of living costs for a year
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 5.24%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round
Intended funding timeframe in months: 12
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundRoam Research10,000.002019-08-30Rationality improvementhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/august-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Grantee applied through the online application process, and was selected based on review by the fund managers. Alex Zhu was the fund manager most excited about the grant, and responsible for the public write-up

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: Grant to support the continued development of Roam, a web application from Conor White-Sullivan filling a similar niche as Workflowy. Roam automates the Zettelkasten method, "a note-taking / document-drafting process based on physical index cards." The grant write-up says: "This funding will support Roam’s general operating costs, including expenses for Conor, one employee, and several contractors."

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Fund manager Alex Zhu writes: "On my inside view, if Roam succeeds, an experienced user of the note-taking app Workflowy will get at least as much value switching to Roam as they got from using Workflowy in the first place. (Many EAs, myself included, see Workflowy as an integral part of our intellectual process, and I think Roam might become even more integral than Workflowy" and links to Sarah Constantin's posts on Roam: https://www.facebook.com/sarah.constantin.543/posts/242611079943317 and https://srconstantin.posthaven.com/how-to-make-a-memex

Other notes: Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundAlexander Gietelink Oldenziel30,000.002019-08-30AI safetyhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/august-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Grantee applied through the online application process, and was selected based on review by the fund managers. Alex Zhu was the fund manager most excited about the grant, and responsible for the public write-up

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: Grant to support the work of Alexander Gietelink Oldenziel who is interning at the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI) at the time of the grant. The grant money provides additional resources for the grantee to continue digging deeper into the topics after his internship at MIRI ends (while staying in regular contact with MIRI researchers); the write-up estimates that it will last him 1.5 years.

Donor reason for selecting the donee: The reasons are roughly similar to the Long-Term Future Fund's past reasons for supporting MIRI and its research agenda, as outlined in the April 2019 report https://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Also, Alex Zhu says in the grant write-up: "I have also spoken to him in some depth, and was impressed both by his research taste and clarity of thought."

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Amount chosen to be sufficient to allow the grantee to continue digging into AI safety for 1.5 years after his internship with MIRI ends
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 6.83%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round, and also by the grantee's internship with MIRI coming to an end
Intended funding timeframe in months: 18
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundAlexander Siegenfeld20,000.002019-08-30AI safety/deconfusion researchhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/august-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Grantee applied through the online application process, and was selected based on review by the fund managers. Alex Zhu was the fund manager most excited about the grant, and responsible for the public write-up

Intended use of funds (category): Living expenses during research project

Intended use of funds: Grant for "Characterizing the properties and constraints of complex systems and their external interactions." Specifically, the grantee's "His goal is to get a better conceptual understanding of multi-level world models by coming up with better formalisms for analyzing complex systems at differing levels of scale, building off of the work of Yaneer Bar-Yam." Also: "Alexander plans to publish a paper on his research; it will be evaluated by researchers at MIRI, helping him decide how best to pursue further work in this area."

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Alex Zhu says in the grant write-up: "I decided to recommend funding to Alexander because I think his research directions are promising, and because I was personally impressed by his technical abilities and his clarity of thought. Tsvi Benson-Tilsen, a MIRI researcher, was also impressed enough by Alexander to recommend that the Fund support him." A conflict of interest is also declared: "Alexander and I have been friends since our undergraduate years at MIT."

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round

Other notes: Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundMachine Intelligence Research Institute50,000.002019-03-20AI safetyhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Grant investigation and influencer Oliver Habryka believes that MIRI is making real progress in its approach of "creating a fundamental piece of theory that helps humanity to understand a wide range of powerful phenomena" He notes that MIRI started work on the alignment problem long before it became cool, which gives him more confidence that they will do the right thing and even their seemingly weird actions may be justified in ways that are not yet obvious. He also thinks that both the research team and ops staff are quite competent

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Habryka offers the following reasons for giving a grant of just $50,000, which is small relative to the grantee budget: (1) MIRI is in a solid position funding-wise, and marginal use of money may be lower-impact. (2) There is a case for investing in helping grow a larger and more diverse set of organizations, as opposed to putting money in a few stable and well-funded onrganizations.
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 5.42%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round

Donor thoughts on making further donations to the donee: Oliver Habryka writes: "I can see arguments that we should expect additional funding for the best teams to be spent well, even accounting for diminishing margins, but on the other hand I can see many meta-level concerns that weigh against extra funding in such cases. Overall, I find myself confused about the marginal value of giving MIRI more money, and will think more about that between now and the next grant round."

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) . Despite these, Habryka recommends a relatively small grant to MIRI, because they are already relatively well-funded and are not heavily bottlenecked on funding. However, he ultimately decides to grant some amount to MIRI, giving some explanation. He says he will think more about this before the next funding round.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundCenter for Applied Rationality150,000.002019-03-20Rationality improvementhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Intended use of funds: The grant is to help the Center for Applied Rationality (CFAR) survive as an organization for the next few months (i.e., till the next grant round, which is 3 months later) without having to scale down operations. CFAR is low on finances because they did not run a 2018 fundraiser. because they felt that running a fundraiser would be in bad taste after what they considered a messup on their part in the Brent Dill situation

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Grant investigator and main influencer Oliver Habryka thinks CFAR intro workshops have had positive impact in 3 ways: (1) establishing epistemic norms, (2) training, and (3) recruitment into the X-risk network (especially AI safety). He also thinks CFAR faces many challenges, including the departure of many key employees, the difficulty of attracting top talent, and a dilution of its truth-seeking focus. However, he is enthusiastic about joint CFAR/MIRI workshops for programmers, where CFAR provides instructors. His final reason for donating is to avoid CFAR having to scale down due to its funding shortfall because it didn't run the 2018 fundraiser

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): The grant amount, which is the largest in this grant round from the EA Long-Term Future Fund, is chosen to be sufficient for CFAR to continue operating as usual till the next grant round from the EA Long-Term Future Fund (in about 3 months). Habryka further elaborates in https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-recommendations#uhH4ioNbdaFrwGt4e (GW, IR) in reply to Milan Griffes, explaining why the grant is large and unrestricted
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 16.25%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round, as well as by CFAR's time-sensitive financial situation; the grant round is a few months after the end of 2018, so the shortfall of funds raised because of not conducting the 2018 fundraiser is starting to hit on the finances
Intended funding timeframe in months: 3

Donor thoughts on making further donations to the donee: Grant investigator and main influencer Oliver Habryka writes: "I didn’t have enough time this grant round to understand how the future of CFAR will play out; the current grant amount seems sufficient to ensure that CFAR does not have to take any drastic action until our next grant round. By the next grant round, I plan to have spent more time learning and thinking about CFAR’s trajectory and future, and to have a more confident opinion about what the correct funding level for CFAR is."

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) In the comments, Milan Griffes asks why such a large, unrestricted grant is being made to CFAR despite these concerns, and also what Habryka hopes to learn about CFAR before the next grant round. There are replies from Peter McCluskey and Habryka, with some further comment back-and-forth.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundAI Safety Camp25,000.002019-03-20AI safetyhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted).

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: Grant to fund an upcoming camp in Madrid being organized by AI Safety Camp in April 2019. The camp consists of several weeks of online collaboration on concrete research questions, culminating in a 9-day intensive in-person research camp. The goal is to support aspiring researchers of AI alignment to boost themselves into productivity.

Donor reason for selecting the donee: The grant investigator and main influencer Oliver Habryka mentions that: (1) He has a positive impression of the organizers and has received positive feedback from participants in the first two AI Safety Camps. (2) A greater need to improve access to opportunities in AI alignment for people in Europe. Habryka also mentions an associated greater risk of making the AI Safety Camp the focal point of the AI safety community in Europe, which could cause problems if the quality of the people involved isn't high. He mentions two more specific concerns: (a) Organizing long in-person events is hard, and can lead to conflict, as the last two camps did. (b) People who don't get along with the organizers may find themselves shut out of the AI safety network.

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee).
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 2.71%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by the timing of the camp (which is scheduled for April 2019; the grant is being made around the same time) as well as the timing of the grant round.
Intended funding timeframe in months: 1

Donor thoughts on making further donations to the donee: Grant investigator and main influencer Habryka writes: "I would want to engage with the organizers a fair bit more before recommending a renewal of this grant."

Donor retrospective of the donation: The August 2019 grant round would include a $41,000 grant to AI Safety Camp for the next camp, with some format changes. However, in the write-up for that grant round, Habryka says " In April I said I wanted to talk with the organizers before renewing this grant, and I expected to have at least six months between applications from them, but we received another application this round and I ended up not having time for that conversation." Also: "I will not fund another one without spending significantly more time investigating the program."

Other notes: Grantee in the grant document is listed as Johannes Heidecke, but the grant is for the AI Safety Camp. The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) Grant decision was coordinated with Effective Altruism Grants (specifically, Nicole Ross of CEA) who had considered also making a grant to the camp. Effective Altruism Grants ultimately decided against making the grant, and the Long-Term Future Fund made it instead. Nicole Ross, in the evaluation by EA Grants, mentions the same concerns that Habryka does: interpersonal conflict and people being shut out of the AI safety community if they don't get along with the camp organizers.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundOught50,000.002019-03-20AI safetyhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational financial buffer

Intended use of funds: No specific information is shared on how the funds will be used at the margin, but the general description gives an idea: "Ought is a nonprofit aiming to implement AI alignment concepts in real-world applications"

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Donor is explicitly interested in diversifying funder base for donee, who currently receives almost all its funding from only two sources and is trying to change that. Othewise, same reason as with last round of funds https://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/november-2018-long-term-future-fund-grants namely "We believe that Ought’s approach is interesting and worth trying, and that they have a strong team. [...] Part of the aim of the grant is to show Ought as an example of the type of organization we are likely to fund in the future."

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): In write-up for previous grant at https://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/november-2018-long-term-future-fund-grants of $10,000, donor says: "Our understanding is that hiring is currently more of a bottleneck for them than funding, so we are only making a small grant." The amount this time is bigger ($50,000) but the general principle likely continues to apply
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 5.42%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): In the previous grant round, donor had said "Part of the aim of the grant is to show Ought as an example of the type of organization we are likely to fund in the future." Thus, it makes sense to donate again in this round

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Matt Wage and is also included in the cross-post of the grant decision to the Effective Altruism Forum at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) but the comments on the post do not discuss this specific grant.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundForetold70,000.002019-03-20Forecastinghttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: Grant will be mainly used by Ozzie Gooen to pay programmers to work on Foretold at http://www.foretold.io/ a forecasting application that handles full probability distributions. This includes work on Ken.js, a private version of Wikidata that Gooen has started integrating with Foretold

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Grant investigator and main influencer Oliver Habryka gives these reasons for the grant, as well as other forecasting-related grants made to Anthony Aguirre (Metaculus) and Jacob Lagerros: (1) confusion about what is progress and what problems need solving, (2) need for many people to collaborate and document, (3) low-hanging fruit in designing better online platforms for making intellectual progress -- Habryka works on LessWrong 2.0 for that reason, and Gooen has past experience in the space with his building of Guesstimate, (4) promise and tractability for forecasting platforms in particular (for instance, work by Philip Tetlock and work by Robin Hanson), (5) Even though some platforms, such as Predictionbook and Guesstimate, did not get the traction they expected, others like the Good Judgment Project have been successful, so one should not overgeneralize from a few failures. In addition, Habryka has a positive impression of Gooen in both in-person interaction and online writing

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee)
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 7.58%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined partly by timing of grant round. Gooen was a recipient of a previous $20,000 grant from the same fund (the EA Long-Term Future Fund) and found the money very helpful. He applied for more money in this round to scale the project up further

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) The comments discuss this and the other forecasting grants, and include the question "why are you acting as grant-givers here rather than as special interest investors?" It is also included in a list of potentially concerning grants in a portfolio evaluation comment https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions#d4YHzSJnNWmyxf6HM (GW, IR) by Evan Gaensbauer.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundEffective Altruism Zürich17,900.002019-03-20AI safetyhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: A two-day workshop by Alex Lintz and collaborators from EA Zürich for effective altruists interested in AI governance careers, with the goals of giving participants background on the space, offering career advice, and building community.

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Donor writes: "We agree with their assessment that this space is immature and hard to enter, and believe their suggested plan for the workshop looks like a promising way to help participants orient to careers in AI governance."

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee)
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 1.93%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round. No specific timing-related considerations are discussed
Intended funding timeframe in months: 1

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Helen Toner and is also included in the cross-post of the grant decision to the Effective Altruism Forum at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) but the comments on the post do not discuss this specific grant.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundTessa Alexanian26,250.002019-03-20Biosecurity and pandemic preparednesshttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: A one day biosecurity summit, immediately following the SynBioBeta industry conference.

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee)
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 2.84%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round. No specific timing-related considerations are discussed
Intended funding timeframe in months: 1

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Matt Wage and is also included in the cross-post of the grant decision to the Effective Altruism Forum at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) but the comments on the post do not discuss this specific grant.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundShahar Avin40,000.002019-03-20AI safetyhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: Hiring an academic research assistant and other miscellaneous research expenses, for scaling up scenario role-play for AI strategy research and training.

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Donor writes: "We think positively of Shahar’s past work (for example this report), and multiple people we trust recommended that we fund him." The linked report is https://maliciousaireport.com/

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee)
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 4.33%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round. No specific timing-related considerations are discussed

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Matt Wage and is also included in the cross-post of the grant decision to the Effective Altruism Forum at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) but the comments on the post do not discuss this specific grant.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundLucius Caviola50,000.002019-03-20Effective altruism/long-termismhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted). Donee also applied to the EA Meta Fund (another of the Effective Altruism Funds) and the total funding for the donee was split between the funds

Intended use of funds (category): Living expenses during research project

Intended use of funds: Part of the costs for a 2-year postdoc at Harvard working with Professor Joshua Greene. Grantee plans to study the psychology of effective altruism and long-termism. The funding from the Long-Term Future Fund is roughly intended to cover the part of the costs that corresponds to the work on long-termism

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Total funding requested by the donee appears to be $130,000. Of this, $80,000 is provided by the EA Meta Fund in their March 2019 grant round https://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/march-2019-ea-meta-fund-grants to cover the donee's work on effective altruism, while the remaining $50,000 is provided through this grant by the Long-Term Future Fund, and covers the work on long-termism. The reason for splitting funding in this way is not articulated
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 5.42%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round. No specific timing-related considerations are discussed. However, the write-up for the $80,000 grant provided by the EA Meta Fund https://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/march-2019-ea-meta-fund-grants calls the grant a "time-bounded, specific opportunity that requires funding to initiate and explore" and similar reasoning may also apply to the $50,000 Long-Term Future Fund grant
Intended funding timeframe in months: 24

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Matt Wage and is also included in the cross-post of the grant decision to the Effective Altruism Forum at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) but the comments on the post do not discuss this specific grant.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundNikhil Kunapuli30,000.002019-03-20AI safety/deconfusion researchhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the March 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Living expenses during research project

Intended use of funds: Grantee is doing independent deconfusion research for AI safety. His approach is to develop better foundational understandings of various concepts in AI safety, like safe exploration and robustness to distributional shift, by exploring these concepts in complex systems science and theoretical biology, domains outside of machine learning for which these concepts are also applicable.

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Fund manager Alex Zhu says: "I recommended that we fund Nikhil because I think Nikhil’s research directions are promising, and because I personally learn a lot about AI safety every time I talk with him."

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee)
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 3.25%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round. No specific timing-related considerations are discussed

Donor thoughts on making further donations to the donee: Alex Zhu, in his grant write-up, says that the quality of the work will be assessed by researchers at MIRI. Although it is not explicitly stated, it is likely that this evaluation will influence the decision of whether to make further grants

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Alex Zhu and is also included in the cross-post of the grant decision to the Effective Altruism Forum at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) but the comments on the post do not discuss this specific grant.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundAnand Srinivasan30,000.002019-03-20AI safety/deconfusion researchhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Living expenses during research project

Intended use of funds: Grantee is doing independent deconfusion research for AI safety. His angle of attack is to develop a framework that will allow researchers to make provable claims about what specific AI systems can and cannot do, based off of factors like their architectures and their training processes.

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Grantee worked with main grant influencer Alex Zhu at an enterprise software company that they cofounded. Alex Zhu says in his grant write-up: "I recommended that we fund Anand because I think Anand’s research directions are promising, and I personally learn a lot about AI safety every time I talk with him."

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee)
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 3.25%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round. No specific timing-related considerations are discussed

Donor thoughts on making further donations to the donee: Alex Zhu, in his grant write-up, says that the quality of the work will be assessed by researchers at MIRI. Although it is not explicitly stated, it is likely that this evaluation will influence the decision of whether to make further grants

Other notes: The quality of grantee's work will be judged by researchers at the Machine Intelligence Research Institute. The grant reasoning is written up by Alex Zhu and is also included in the cross-post of the grant decision to the Effective Altruism Forum at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) but the comments on the post do not discuss this specific grant.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundEffective Altruism Russia28,000.002019-03-20Rationality improvementhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted). The grant would ultimately not be funded by CEA; while CEA was deciding whether to fund the grant, a private donor stepped in to fund the grant.

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: Grant to Mikhail Yagudin for Effective Altruism Russia to give copies of Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality to the winners of EGMO 2019 and IMO 2020.

Donor reason for selecting the donee: In the grant write-up, Oliver Habryka explains his evaluation of the grant as based on three questions: (1) What effects does reading HPMOR have on people? (2) How good of a target group are Math Olympiad winners for these effects? (3) Is the team competent enough to execute on their plan?

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee). The comments include more discussion of the unit economics of the grant, and whether the effective cost of $43/copy is reasonable
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 3.03%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round. No specific timing-related considerations are discussed. The need to secure money in advance of the events for which the money will be used likely affected the timing of the application

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) There is a lot of criticism and discussion of the grant in the comments. The grant would ultimately not be funded by CEA; while CEA was deciding whether to fund the grant, a private donor stepped in to fund the grant.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundAlex Turner30,000.002019-03-20AI safety/agent foundationshttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Living expenses during research project

Intended use of funds: Grant for building towards a “Limited Agent Foundations” thesis on mild optimization and corrigibility. Grantee is a third-year computer science PhD student funded by a graduate teaching assistantship; to dedicate more attention to alignment research, he is applying for one or more trimesters of funding (spring term starts April 1).

Donor reason for selecting the donee: In the grant write-up, Oliver Habryka explains that he is excited by (a) Turner's posts to LessWrong reviewing many math textbooks useful for thinking about the alignment problem, (b) Turner not being intimidated by the complexity of the problem, and (c) Turner writing up his thoughts and hypotheses in a clear way, seeking feedback on them early, and making a set of novel contributions to an interesting sub-field of AI Alignment quite quickly (in the form of his work on impact measures, on which he recently collaborated with the DeepMind AI Safety team).

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee)
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 3.25%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round. No specific timing-related considerations are discussed
Intended funding timeframe in months: 4

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) The comments on the post do not discuss this specific grant.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundDavid Girardo30,000.002019-03-20AI safety/deconfusion researchhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Living expenses during research project

Intended use of funds: Grantee is doing independent deconfusion research for AI safety. His angle of attack is to elucidate the ontological primitives for representing hierarchical abstractions, drawing from his experience with type theory, category theory, differential geometry, and theoretical neuroscience.

Donor reason for selecting the donee: The main investigator and influencer for the grant, Alex Zhu, finds the research directions promising. Tsvi Benson-Tilsen, a MIRI researcher, has also recommended that grantee get funding.

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee)
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 3.25%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round. No specific timing-related considerations are discussed

Donor thoughts on making further donations to the donee: The quality of the grantee's work will be assessed by researchers at MIRI

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Alex Zhu and is also included in the cross-post of the grant decision to the Effective Altruism Forum at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) but the comments on the post do not discuss this specific grant.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundTegan McCaslin30,000.002019-03-20AI safety/forecastinghttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Living expenses during research project

Intended use of funds: Grant for independent research projects relevant to AI forecasting and strategy, including (but not necessarily limited to) some of the following: (1) Does the trajectory of AI capability development match that of biological evolution? (2) How tractable is long-term forecasting? (3) How much compute did evolution use to produce intelligence? (4)Benchmarking AI capabilities against insects. Short doc on (1) and (2) at https://docs.google.com/document/d/1hTLrLXewF-_iJiefyZPF6L677bLrUTo2ziy6BQbxqjs/edit

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Reasons for the grant from Oliver Habryka, the main influencer, include: (1) It's easier to relocate someone who has already demonstrated trust and skills than to find someone completely new, (2.1) It's important to give good researchers runway while they find the right place. Habryka notes: "my brief assessment of Tegan’s work was not the reason why I recommended this grant, and if Tegan asks for a new grant in 6 months to focus on solo research, I will want to spend significantly more time reading her output and talking with her, to understand how these questions were chosen and what precise relation they have to forecasting technological progress in AI."

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee). Habryka also mentions that he is interested only in providing limited runway, and would need to assess much more carefully for a more long-term grant
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 3.25%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round. However, it is also related to the grantee's situation (she has just quit her job at AI Impacts, and needs financial runway to continue pursuing promising research projects)
Intended funding timeframe in months: 6

Donor thoughts on making further donations to the donee: The grant investigator Oliver Habryka notes: "if Tegan asks for a new grant in 6 months to focus on solo research, I will want to spend significantly more time reading her output and talking with her, to understand how these questions were chosen and what precise relation they have to forecasting technological progress in AI."

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) The comments on the post do not discuss this specific grant, but a grant to Lauren Lee that includes somewhat similar reasoning (providing people runway after they leave their jobs, so they can explore better) attracts some criticism.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundMetaculus70,000.002019-03-20Forecastinghttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: Grant to Anothony Aguirre to expand the Metaculus prediction platform along with its community. Metaculus.com is a fully-functional prediction platform with ~10,000 registered users and >120,000 predictions made to date on more than >1000 questions. The two major high-priority expansions are: (1) An integrated set of extensions to improve user interaction and information-sharing. This would include private messaging and notifications, private groups, a prediction “following” system to create micro-teams within individual questions, and various incentives and systems for information-sharing. (2) Link questions into a network. Users would express links between questions, from very simple (“notify me regarding question Y when P(X) changes substantially) to more complex (“Y happens only if X happens, but not conversely”, etc.) Information can also be gleaned from what users actually do.

Donor reason for selecting the donee: The grant investigator and main influencer, Oliver Habryka, refers to reasoning included in the grant to Ozzie Gooen for Foretold, that is made in the same batch of grants and described at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) He also lists these reasons for liking Metaculus: (1) Valuable service in the past few years, (2) Cooperation with the X-risk space to get answers to important questions

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): The grantee requested $150,000, but Oliver Habryka, the grant investigator, was not confident enough in the grant to recommend the full amount. Some concerns mentioned: (1) Lack of a dedicated full-time resource, (2) Overlap with the Good Judgment Project, that reduces its access to resources and people
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 7.58%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) The comments discuss this and the other forecasting grants, and include the question "why are you acting as grant-givers here rather than as special interest investors?" It is also included in a list of potentially concerning grants in a portfolio evaluation comment https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions#d4YHzSJnNWmyxf6HM (GW, IR) by Evan Gaensbauer.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundRobert Miles39,000.002019-03-20AI safety/content creation/videohttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: Grant to create video content on AI alignment. Grantee has a YouTube channel at https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCLB7AzTwc6VFZrBsO2ucBMg (average 20,000 views per video) and also creates videos for the Computerphile channel https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3TYT1QfdfsM&t=2s (often more than 100,000 views per video)

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Grant investigator and main influencer Oliver Habryka favors the grant for these reasons: (1) Grantee explains AI alignment as primarily a technical problem, not a moral or political problem, (2) Grantee does not politicize AI safety, (3) Grantee's goal is to create interest in these problems from future researchers, and not to simply get as large of an audience as possible. Habryka notes that the grantee is the first skilled person in the X-risk community working full-time on producing video content. "Being the very best we have in this skill area, he is able to help the community in a number of novel ways (for example, he’s already helping existing organizations produce videos about their ideas)." In the previous grant round, the grantee had requested funding for a collaboration with RAISE to produce videos for them, but Habryka felt it was better to fund the grantee directly and allow him to decide which organizations he wanted to help with his videos

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee)
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 4.22%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR).
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundJacob Lagerros27,000.002019-03-20AI safety/forecastinghttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Living expenses during research project|Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: Grant to build a private platform where AI safety and policy researchers have direct access to a base of superforecaster-equivalents. Lagerros previously received two grants to work on the project: a half-time salary from Effective Altruism Grants, and a grant for direct project expenses from Berkeley Existential Risk Initiative.

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Grant investigator and main influencer notes the same high-level reasons for the grant as for similar grants to Anothony Aguirre (Metaculus) and Ozzie Gooen (Foretold); the general reasons are explained in the grant writeup for Gooen. Habryka also mentions Lagerros being around the community for 3 years, and having done useful owrk and received other funding. Habryka mentions he did not assess the grant in detail; the main reason for granting from the Long-Term Future Fund was due to logistical complications with other grantmakers (FHI and BERI), who already vouched for the value of the project

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee)
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 2.92%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) The comments discuss this and the other forecasting grants, and include the question "why are you acting as grant-givers here rather than as special interest investors?" It is also included in a list of potentially concerning grants in a portfolio evaluation comment https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions#d4YHzSJnNWmyxf6HM (GW, IR) by Evan Gaensbauer.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundOrpheus Lummis10,000.002019-03-20AI safety/upskillinghttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Living expenses during research project

Intended use of funds: Grant for upskilling in contemporary AI techniques, deep RL and AI safety, before pursuing a ML PhD. Notable planned subprojects: (1) Engaging with David Krueger’s AI safety reading group at Montreal Institute for Learning Algorithms (2) Starting & maintaining a public index of AI safety papers, to help future literature reviews and to complement https://vkrakovna.wordpress.com/ai-safety-resources/ as a standalone wiki-page (eg at http://aisafetyindex.net ) (3) From-scratch implementation of seminal deep RL algorithms (4) Going through textbooks: Goodfellow Bengio Courville 2016, Sutton Barto 2018 (5) Possibly doing the next AI Safety camp (6) Building a prioritization tool for English Wikipedia using NLP, building on the literature of quality assessment (https://paperpile.com/shared/BZ2jzQ) (7) Studying the AI Alignment literature

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Grant investigator and main influencer Oliver Habryka is impressed with the results of the AI Safety Unconference organized by Lummis after NeurIPS with Long-Term Future Fund money. However, he is not confident of the grant, writing: "I don’t know Orpheus very well, and while I have received generally positive reviews of their work, I haven’t yet had the time to look into any of those reviews in detail, and haven’t seen clear evidence about the quality of their judgment." Habryka also favors more time for self-study and reflection, and is excited about growing the Montral AI alignment community. Finally, Habryka thinks the grant amount is small and is unlikely to have negative consequences

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee). The small amount is also one reason grant investigator Oliver Habryka is comfortable making the grant despite not investigating thoroughly
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 1.08%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) The comments on the post do not discuss this specific grant.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundLauren Lee20,000.002019-03-20Rationality communityhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted). The grant would ultimately be funded by a private donor after CEA declined to fund the grant due to it not meeting the necessary legal requirements for individual grants.

Intended use of funds (category): Living expenses during research project

Intended use of funds: Grant for working to prevent burnout and boost productivity within the EA and X-risk communities. From the grant application: (1) Grant requested to spend the coming year thinking about rationality and testing new projects. (2) The goal is to help individuals and orgs in the x-risk community orient towards and achieve their goals. (A) Training the skill of dependability. (B) Thinking clearly about AI risk. (C) Reducing burnout. (3) Measurable outputs include programs with 1-on-1 sessions with individuals or orgs, X-risk orgs spending time/money on services, writings or talks, workshops with feedback forms, and improved personal effectiveness

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Grant investigator and main influencer Habryka describes his grant reasoning as follows: "In sum, this grant hopefully helps Lauren to recover from burning out, get the new rationality projects she is working on off the ground, potentially identify a good new niche for her to work in (alone or at an existing organization), and write up her ideas for the community."

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee)
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 2.17%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round
Intended funding timeframe in months: 6

Donor thoughts on making further donations to the donee: Grant investigator and main influencer Oliver Habrkya qualifies the likelihood of giving another grant as follows: "I think that she should probably aim to make whatever she does valuable enough that individuals and organizations in the community wish to pay her directly for her work. It’s unlikely that I would recommend renewing this grant for another 6 month period in the absence of a relatively exciting new research project/direction, and if Lauren were to reapply, I would want to have a much stronger sense that the projects she was working on were producing lots of value before I decided to recommend funding her again."

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) The grant receives criticism in the comments, including 'This is ridiculous, I'm sure she's a great person but please don't use the gift you received to provide sinecures to people "in the community"'. The grant would ultimately be funded by a private donor after CEA declined to fund the grant due to it not meeting the necessary legal requirements for individual grants.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundKocherga50,000.002019-03-20Rationality communityhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: Grant to Vyacheslav Matyuhin for Kocherga, an offline community hub for rationalists and EAs in Moscow. Kocherga's concrete plans with the grant include: (1) Add 2 more people to the team. (2) Implement a new community-building strategy. (3) Improve the rationalty workshops.

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Grant investigator and main influencer Oliver Habryka notes that the Russian rationality community has been successful, with projects such as https://lesswrong.ru (Russian translation of LessWrong sequences), kickstarter to distribute copies of HPMOR, and Kocherga, a financially self-sustaining anti-cafe in Moscow that hosts a variety of events for roughly 100 attendees per week. The grant reasoning references the LessWrong post https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WmfapdnpFfHWzkdXY/rationalist-community-hub-in-moscow-3-years-retrospective (GW, IR) by Kocherga. The grant is being made by the Long-Term Future Fund because the EA Meta Fund decided not to make it

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee)
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 5.42%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR). Affected countries: Russia.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundConnor Flexman20,000.002019-03-20AI safety/forecastinghttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Living expenses during research project

Intended use of funds: Grant to perform independent research in collaboration with John Salvatier

Donor reason for selecting the donee: The grant was originally requested by John Salvatier (who is already funded by an EA Grant), as a grant to Salvatier to hire Flexman to help him. But Oliver Habryka (the primary person on whose recommendation the grant was made) ultimately decided to give the money to Flexman to give him more flexibility to switch if the work with Salvatier does not go well. Despite the reservations, Habryka considers significant negative consequences unlkely. Habryka also says: "I assign some significant probability that this grant can help Connor develop into an excellent generalist researcher of a type that I feel like EA is currently quite bottlenecked on." Habryka has two other reservations: potential conflict of interest because he lives in the same house as the recipient, and lack of concrete, externally verifiable evidence of competence

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee)
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 2.17%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) Habryka was the primary person on whose recommendation the grant was made. Habryka replies to a comment giving ideas on what independent research Flexman might produce if he stops working with Salvatier.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundEli Tyre30,000.002019-03-20Rationality improvementhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the April 2019 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient (23 out of almost 100 applications were accepted)

Intended use of funds (category): Direct project expenses

Intended use of funds: Grant to support projects for rationality and community building interventions. Example projects: facilitating conversations between top people in AI alignment, organization advanced workshops on double crux, doing independent research projects such as https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tj8QP2EFdP8p54z6i/historical-mathematicians-exhibit-a-birth-order-effect-too (GW, IR) (evaluating burth order effects in mathematicians), providing new EAs and rationalists with advice and guidance on how to get traction on working on important problems, and helping John Salvatier develop techniques around skill transfer. Grant investigator and main influencer Oliver Habryka writes: "the goal of this grant is to allow [Eli Tyre] to take actions with greater leverage by hiring contractors, paying other community members for services, and paying for other varied expenses associated with his projects."

Donor reason for selecting the donee: Grant investigation and main influencer is excited about the projects Tyre is interested in working on, and writes: "Eli has worked on a large variety of interesting and valuable projects over the last few years, many of them too small to have much payment infrastructure, resulting in him doing a lot of work without appropriate compensation. I think his work has been a prime example of picking low-hanging fruit by using local information and solving problems that aren’t worth solving at scale, and I want him to have resources to continue working in this space."

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Likely to be the amount requested by the donee in the application (this is not stated explicitly by either the donor or the donee)
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 3.25%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round

Other notes: The grant reasoning is written up by Oliver Habryka and is available at https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decision (GW, IR).
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundMachine Intelligence Research Institute40,000.002018-11-29AI safetyhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/november-2018-long-term-future-fund-grants Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the November 2018 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Intended use of funds: The grant page links to MIRI's research directions post https://intelligence.org/2018/11/22/2018-update-our-new-research-directions/ and to MIRI's 2018 fundraiser post https://intelligence.org/2018/11/26/miris-2018-fundraiser/ saying "According to their fundraiser post, MIRI believes it will be able to find productive uses for additional funding, and gives examples of ways additional funding was used to support their work this year."

Donor reason for selecting the donee: The grant page links to MIRI's research directions post https://intelligence.org/2018/11/22/2018-update-our-new-research-directions/ and says "We believe that this research represents one promising approach to AI alignment research."

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round

Donor retrospective of the donation: The Long-Term Future Fund would make a similarly sized grant ($50,000) in its next grant round in April 2019, suggesting that it was satisfied with the outcome of the grant

Other notes: Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundOught10,000.002018-11-29AI safetyhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/november-2018-long-term-future-fund-grants Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the November 2018 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Intended use of funds: Grantee is a nonprofit aiming to implement AI alignment concepts in real-world applications.

Donor reason for selecting the donee: The grant page says: "We believe that Ought's approach is interesting and worth trying, and that they have a strong team. [...] Part of the aim of the grant is to show Ought as an example of the type of organization we are likely to fund in the future."

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): The grant page says "Our understanding is that hiring is currently more of a bottleneck for them than funding, so we are only making a small grant."
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 10.47%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round

Donor thoughts on making further donations to the donee: The grant page says "Part of the aim of the grant is to show Ought as an example of the type of organization we are likely to fund in the future." This suggests that Ought will be considered for future grant rounds

Donor retrospective of the donation: The Long-Term Future Fund would make a $50,000 grant to Ought in the April 2019 grant round, suggesting that this grant would be considered a success
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundForetold20,000.002018-11-29Forecastinghttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/november-2018-long-term-future-fund-grants Donation process: Donee submitted grant application through the application form for the November 2018 round of grants from the Long-Term Future Fund, and was selected as a grant recipient

Intended use of funds (category): Organizational general support

Intended use of funds: Ozzie Gooen plans to build an online community of EA forecasters, researchers, and data scientists to predict variables of interest to the EA community. Ozzie proposed using the platform to answer a range of questions, including examples like “How many Google searches will there be for reinforcement learning in 2020?” or “How many plan changes will 80,000 hours cause in 2020?”, and using the results to help EA organizations and individuals to prioritize. The grant funds the project's basic setup and initial testing. The community and tool would later get created with the name Foretold; it is available at https://www.foretold.io/

Donor reason for selecting the donee: The grant decision was made based on past success by Ozzie Gooen with Guesstimate https://www.getguesstimate.com/ as well as belief both in the broad value of the project and the specifics of the project plan.

Donor reason for donating that amount (rather than a bigger or smaller amount): Amount likely determined by the specifics of the project plan and the scope of this round of funding, namely, the project's basic setup and initial testing.
Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 20.94%

Donor reason for donating at this time (rather than earlier or later): Timing determined by timing of grant round, and also by the donee's desire to start the project

Donor retrospective of the donation: The Long-Term Future Fund would make a followup grant of $70,000 to Foretold in the April 2019 grant round https://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/april-2019-long-term-future-fund-grants-and-recommendations see also https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/CJJDwgyqT4gXktq6g/long-term-future-fund-april-2019-grant-decisions (GW, IR) for more detail
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundAI summer school21,000.002018-11-29AI safetyhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/november-2018-long-term-future-fund-grants Grant to fund the second year of a summer school on AI safety, aiming to familiarize potential researchers with interesting technical problems in the field. Last year’s iteration of this event appears to have gone well, per https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bXLi3n2jrfqRwoSTH/human-aligned-ai-summer-school-a-summary (GW, IR) and private information available to donor. Donor believes that well-run education efforts of this kind are valuable (where “well-run” refers to the quality of the intellectual content, the participants, and the logistics of the event), and feels confident enough that this particular effort will be well-run. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future FundAI Safety Unconference4,500.002018-11-29AI safetyhttps://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/payouts/november-2018-long-term-future-fund-grants Orpheus Lummis and Vaughn DiMarco are organizing an unconference on AI Alignment on the last day of the NeurIPS conference, with the goal of facilitating networking and research on AI Alignment among a diverse audience of AI researchers with and without safety backgrounds. Based on interaction with the organizers and some participants, the donor feels this project is worth funding. However, the donee is still not sure if the unconference will be held, so the grant is conditional to the donee deciding to proceed. The grant would fully fund the request. Percentage of total donor spend in the corresponding batch of donations: 100.00%.

Donation amounts by donee and year

Donee Donors influenced Cause area Metadata Total 2021 2020 2019 2018
Lightcone Infrastructure Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor), Jed McCaleb (filter this donor), Survival and Flourishing Fund (filter this donor), The Casey and Family Foundation (filter this donor) Rationality improvement FB WP Site 2,365,000.00 1,935,000.00 430,000.00 0.00 0.00
The Centre for Long-Term Resilience Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor) 1,898,000.00 1,898,000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Center for Applied Rationality Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor), Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor), Jed McCaleb (filter this donor), Survival and Flourishing Fund (filter this donor) Rationality FB Tw WP Site TW 1,831,000.00 1,207,000.00 274,000.00 350,000.00 0.00
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor) 1,417,000.00 1,417,000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Center on Long-Term Risk Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor) 1,218,000.00 1,218,000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alliance to Feed the Earth in Disasters Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor), Survival and Flourishing Fund (filter this donor) 1,164,000.00 1,154,000.00 0.00 10,000.00 0.00
Machine Intelligence Research Institute Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor), Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor), Jed McCaleb (filter this donor), Survival and Flourishing Fund (filter this donor) AI safety FB Tw WP Site CN GS TW 1,093,000.00 0.00 1,003,000.00 50,000.00 40,000.00
Ought Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor), Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor), Survival and Flourishing Fund (filter this donor) AI safety Site 702,000.00 542,000.00 0.00 150,000.00 10,000.00
Effective Altruism Funds: Infrastructure Fund Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor) 699,000.00 699,000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Future of Life Institute Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor), Jed McCaleb (filter this donor), Survival and Flourishing Fund (filter this donor) AI safety/other global catastrophic risks FB Tw WP Site 510,000.00 0.00 510,000.00 0.00 0.00
AI Impacts Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor), Jed McCaleb (filter this donor), Survival and Flourishing Fund (filter this donor) AI safety Site 463,000.00 303,000.00 60,000.00 100,000.00 0.00
Global Catastrophic Risk Institute Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor), Jed McCaleb (filter this donor), Survival and Flourishing Fund (filter this donor) Global catastrophic risks FB Tw Site 427,000.00 48,000.00 349,000.00 30,000.00 0.00
80,000 Hours Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor), Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor), Jed McCaleb (filter this donor), Survival and Flourishing Fund (filter this donor) Career coaching/life guidance FB Tw WP Site 390,000.00 0.00 280,000.00 110,000.00 0.00
AI Safety Camp Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor), Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor) 310,000.00 215,000.00 0.00 95,000.00 0.00
Centre for the Study of Existential Risk Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor), Survival and Flourishing Fund (filter this donor) 215,000.00 145,000.00 0.00 70,000.00 0.00
Charter Cities Institute Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor), Survival and Flourishing Fund (filter this donor) 197,000.00 137,000.00 0.00 60,000.00 0.00
Foretold Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 90,000.00 0.00 0.00 70,000.00 20,000.00
Centre for Enabling EA Learning & Research Jaan Tallinn (filter this donor), Jed McCaleb (filter this donor) Effective altruism/housing Site 82,000.00 82,000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Metaculus Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 70,000.00 0.00 0.00 70,000.00 0.00
High Impact Policy Engine Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 60,000.00 0.00 0.00 60,000.00 0.00
Kocherga Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 50,000.00 0.00 0.00 50,000.00 0.00
Lucius Caviola Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 50,000.00 0.00 0.00 50,000.00 0.00
Shahar Avin Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 40,000.00 0.00 0.00 40,000.00 0.00
Robert Miles Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 39,000.00 0.00 0.00 39,000.00 0.00
Tegan McCaslin Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 30,000.00 0.00 0.00 30,000.00 0.00
Nikhil Kunapuli Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 30,000.00 0.00 0.00 30,000.00 0.00
Eli Tyre Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 30,000.00 0.00 0.00 30,000.00 0.00
Alex Turner Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 30,000.00 0.00 0.00 30,000.00 0.00
Alexander Gietelink Oldenziel Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 30,000.00 0.00 0.00 30,000.00 0.00
Anand Srinivasan Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 30,000.00 0.00 0.00 30,000.00 0.00
David Girardo Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 30,000.00 0.00 0.00 30,000.00 0.00
Effective Altruism Russia Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 28,000.00 0.00 0.00 28,000.00 0.00
Jacob Lagerros Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 27,000.00 0.00 0.00 27,000.00 0.00
Tessa Alexanian Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 26,250.00 0.00 0.00 26,250.00 0.00
Stag Lynn Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 23,000.00 0.00 0.00 23,000.00 0.00
AI summer school Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 21,000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21,000.00
Alexander Siegenfeld Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 20,000.00 0.00 0.00 20,000.00 0.00
Connor Flexman Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 20,000.00 0.00 0.00 20,000.00 0.00
Lauren Lee Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 20,000.00 0.00 0.00 20,000.00 0.00
Effective Altruism Zürich Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 17,900.00 0.00 0.00 17,900.00 0.00
Orpheus Lummis Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 10,000.00 0.00 0.00 10,000.00 0.00
Roam Research Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 10,000.00 0.00 0.00 10,000.00 0.00
AI Safety Unconference Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donor) 4,500.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4,500.00
Total ---- -- 15,817,650.00 11,000,000.00 2,906,000.00 1,816,150.00 95,500.00

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Donation amounts by donor and year for influencer Survival and Flourishing Fund|Ben Hoskin|Katja Grace|Oliver Habryka|Adam Marblestone

Donor Donees Total 2021 2020 2019 2018
Jaan Tallinn (filter this donee) 80,000 Hours (filter this donee), AI Impacts (filter this donee), AI Safety Camp (filter this donee), Alliance to Feed the Earth in Disasters (filter this donee), Center for Applied Rationality (filter this donee), Center on Long-Term Risk (filter this donee), Centre for Enabling EA Learning & Research (filter this donee), Centre for the Study of Existential Risk (filter this donee), Charter Cities Institute (filter this donee), Effective Altruism Funds: Infrastructure Fund (filter this donee), Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donee), Future of Life Institute (filter this donee), Global Catastrophic Risk Institute (filter this donee), Lightcone Infrastructure (filter this donee), Machine Intelligence Research Institute (filter this donee), Ought (filter this donee), The Centre for Long-Term Resilience (filter this donee) 12,220,000.00 10,312,000.00 1,738,000.00 170,000.00 0.00
Effective Altruism Funds: Long-Term Future Fund (filter this donee) 80,000 Hours (filter this donee), AI Safety Camp (filter this donee), AI Safety Unconference (filter this donee), AI summer school (filter this donee), Alex Turner (filter this donee), Alexander Gietelink Oldenziel (filter this donee), Alexander Siegenfeld (filter this donee), Anand Srinivasan (filter this donee), Center for Applied Rationality (filter this donee), Connor Flexman (filter this donee), David Girardo (filter this donee), Effective Altruism Russia (filter this donee), Effective Altruism Zürich (filter this donee), Eli Tyre (filter this donee), Foretold (filter this donee), High Impact Policy Engine (filter this donee), Jacob Lagerros (filter this donee), Kocherga (filter this donee), Lauren Lee (filter this donee), Lucius Caviola (filter this donee), Machine Intelligence Research Institute (filter this donee), Metaculus (filter this donee), Nikhil Kunapuli (filter this donee), Orpheus Lummis (filter this donee), Ought (filter this donee), Roam Research (filter this donee), Robert Miles (filter this donee), Shahar Avin (filter this donee), Stag Lynn (filter this donee), Tegan McCaslin (filter this donee), Tessa Alexanian (filter this donee) 1,516,650.00 85,000.00 200,000.00 1,136,150.00 95,500.00
Survival and Flourishing Fund (filter this donee) 80,000 Hours (filter this donee), AI Impacts (filter this donee), Alliance to Feed the Earth in Disasters (filter this donee), Center for Applied Rationality (filter this donee), Centre for the Study of Existential Risk (filter this donee), Charter Cities Institute (filter this donee), Future of Life Institute (filter this donee), Global Catastrophic Risk Institute (filter this donee), Lightcone Infrastructure (filter this donee), Machine Intelligence Research Institute (filter this donee), Ought (filter this donee) 1,275,000.00 0.00 765,000.00 510,000.00 0.00
The Casey and Family Foundation (filter this donee) Lightcone Infrastructure (filter this donee) 500,000.00 500,000.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jed McCaleb (filter this donee) 80,000 Hours (filter this donee), AI Impacts (filter this donee), Center for Applied Rationality (filter this donee), Centre for Enabling EA Learning & Research (filter this donee), Future of Life Institute (filter this donee), Global Catastrophic Risk Institute (filter this donee), Lightcone Infrastructure (filter this donee), Machine Intelligence Research Institute (filter this donee) 306,000.00 103,000.00 203,000.00 0.00 0.00
Total -- 15,817,650.00 11,000,000.00 2,906,000.00 1,816,150.00 95,500.00

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